Nov 29, 2004

200.000 killed in Chechnya in 10 years


While Russian and pro-Russian Chechen officials seem to have similar estimates of the civilian death toll in the war in Chechnya, Chechen separatist and Russian government figures vary widely about soldier and rebel deaths
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Chechen State Council Chairman Taus Dzhabrailov told reporters on 19 November that more than 200’000 people had been killed in Chechnya since 1994. He added that more than 20’000 children had been killed during that same period, with tens of thousands more children made orphans, Interfax reported. Dzhabrailov also said that 50 civilians were being killed every month in Chechnya, with the yearly total of those killed, kidnapped, and disappeared for other reasons ranging from 2’000 to 3’000. What is interesting about Dzhabrailov's estimate of the number people killed in Chechnya over the last decade is its similarity to estimates made by Chechen separatist representatives. For example, Akhmed Zakaev, Chechen separatist leader Aslan Maskhadov's London-based representative, wrote in Britain's The Guardian on 7 September, several days after the denouement to the Beslan hostage crisis, that "at least 200’000 Chechen civilians" had been killed by Russian soldiers since 1994. Zakaev said that 35’000 children had been killed in Chechnya, with another 40’000 children seriously injured, while 32’000 children had lost at least one parent and 6’500 had been orphaned. On 3 September, the separatist Kavkaz Center website claimed that 42’000 "Chechen children of school age" had been killed over the last decade. Earlier this year, Aleksandr Cherkasov of the Memorial human rights center cited a State Statistics Committee estimate that 30’000-40’000 Chechen civilians were killed in the 1994-1996 military campaign, but said that Memorial put the real losses at a minimum of 50’000. Cherkasov said that "around 50’000" had been killed since the second military campaign began in 1999 and more than 3’000 people had "gone missing". In July, Union of Soldiers' Mothers Committees head Valentina Melnikova estimated that close 13’000 people had been killed during the second military campaign. She said that estimate was based on lists presented to the soldiers' mothers committees in Russia's regions. She also accused the Defense Ministry of not publishing the official data on those killed in Chechnya as required by law. Back in 1996, Aleksandr Lebed estimated that "about 80’000 people…plus or minus 10’000" had died in the 1994-1996 war. The late general brokered the peace agreement with the Chechen rebels that brought an end to that conflict.

Varying body counts
The question of the number of Russian troops killed in Chechnya also continues to be a matter of dispute. Vyacheslav Izmailov, military correspondent for Novaya gazeta, wrote in the bi-weekly's 22 November edition that more than 15’000 Russian servicemen had been killed in Chechnya over the last decade. "The figures of our losses in Afghanistan have already been surpassed," he wrote. Meanwhile, the Chechen represents and the Russian government this week put forward widely varying estimates of the number of federal troops killed in Chechnya so far this year. Defense Minister Sergei Ivanov said during a meeting between top military officials and President Vladimir Putin on 17 November that 148 soldiers have been killed in Chechnya during the first ten months of this year. According to Ivanov, 499 Russian servicemen were killed in Chechnya in 2001, 480 in 2002, and 291 in 2003. The Chechen separatist Chechenpress.info website on 18 November quoted Amir Supyan, a rebel commander identified as a member of the military committee of the State Defense Committee - Majlis ul-Shura of the Chechen Republic of Ichkeria - as dismissing Ivanov's KIA estimate. "It is not even funny, it is foolish," Supyan said. He claimed that "about 5’000" Russian troops had been killed in Chechnya over the last 10 months according to "minimum calculations", and that the real number of KIAs so far this year is higher, with the number of those wounded "many more" than that. "The Russians and national traitors lose 30-40 people killed and wounded almost every day," he told the website. "Ivanov thinks that his lies will help him influence the general negative background in Chechnya. But these are empty hopes." Supyan claimed, somewhat improbably, that 40’000-42’000 Russian servicemen have been killed since the start of the current war in Chechnya in 1999, and estimated the separatists' losses at "around 7’200 mujahideen". Whatever the real statistics of those killed in action in Chechnya, Defense Minister Ivanov in recent weeks has conceded facts that underscore the grim reality that soldiers serving in the North Caucasus face even away from the front line. Last month, he said that a quarter of the injuries sustained by Russian servicemen in the North Caucasus were the result of dedovshchina, the system of violent hazing of conscripts. The BBC's Russian-language service on 22 October quoted Ivanov as saying that seven soldiers serving in the North Caucasus Military District had recently died as a result of dedovshchina. Ivanov's remarks came just two days after Human Rights Watch released a warning that dedovschchina is undermining military effectiveness and is one of Russia's biggest human rights problems. Not that the situation for recruits serving in other parts of Russia is much better: In his remarks to the 17 November meeting between top military officials and President Putin, Defense Minister Ivanov said that a total of 932 servicemen had died so far this year, and that 24.6 per cent of the 509 who died while off duty had committed suicide.

Calls for a single North Caucasus republic
Chechen State Council Chairman Taus Dzhabrailov on 19 November called for the merging the existing republics of the North Caucasus into a single territory with its capital in Vladikavkaz, which is currently the capital of North Ossetia. Novye izvestia on 22 November quoted Aleksei Malashenko of the Moscow Carnegie Center as saying that the Kremlin administration was behind the idea as part of its overall plan to build "a vertical of power" and eliminate "small regions by means of creating big ones". Malashenko told the newspaper that the idea of merging Chechnya with Ingushetia, which was voiced by the late Chechen President Akhmad Kadyrov about a year ago, was simply a "trial balloon" in this plan. He added, however, that consolidating the republics of the North Caucasus into one big republic with Vladikavkaz as its capital would not work given that "Vladikavkaz is the capital of the only North Caucasian republic in which Christians are the majority" and this would "grate upon local Muslims".

Source: ISN